Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.159168 0.179164 0.200107 0.223624 0.249243 0.276249 0.306817
2025-02-16 0.133256 0.160433 0.190345 0.225528 0.265584 0.309579 0.361356
2025-02-23 0.117190 0.149502 0.186596 0.231931 0.285425 0.346118 0.419743
2025-03-02 0.100164 0.135029 0.176673 0.229398 0.293651 0.368677 0.462123
2025-03-09 0.087688 0.124397 0.169860 0.229271 0.303754 0.392918 0.506501
2025-03-16 0.076891 0.114554 0.162826 0.227793 0.311388 0.413734 0.546755
2025-03-23 0.070369 0.109517 0.161235 0.232642 0.326589 0.443814 0.598750
2025-03-30 0.063048 0.102564 0.156381 0.232588 0.335047 0.465256 0.640131
2025-04-06 0.056638 0.096204 0.151694 0.232181 0.342622 0.485380 0.679957
2025-04-13 0.051029 0.090423 0.147267 0.231634 0.349646 0.504634 0.718786
2025-04-20 0.046871 0.086401 0.144964 0.233725 0.360054 0.528338 0.763697
2025-04-27 0.044249 0.084506 0.145554 0.239798 0.375964 0.559583 0.819063
2025-05-04 0.040292 0.080233 0.142481 0.240640 0.384927 0.582215 0.864287
2025-05-11 0.037477 0.077573 0.141652 0.244662 0.398439 0.611314 0.918829
2025-05-18 0.035780 0.076655 0.143438 0.252611 0.417776 0.648847 0.985599
2025-05-25 0.032171 0.071991 0.138878 0.250516 0.422197 0.665498 1.023870
2025-06-01 0.029374 0.068500 0.135951 0.250715 0.429871 0.686759 1.068801
2025-06-08 0.026573 0.064691 0.132191 0.249314 0.434944 0.704258 1.108641
2025-06-15 0.025149 0.063403 0.132622 0.254617 0.450291 0.736803 1.170238
2025-06-22 0.023016 0.060460 0.129939 0.254615 0.457340 0.757296 1.214922
2025-06-29 0.021021 0.057574 0.127135 0.254209 0.463633 0.776689 1.258246
2025-07-06 0.019187 0.054814 0.124348 0.253638 0.469545 0.795521 1.300967
2025-07-13 0.017872 0.053044 0.123264 0.255892 0.479954 0.821204 1.354018